TITLE: GCN GRB OBSERVATION REPORT NUMBER: 1607 SUBJECT: GRB021004: optical observations and predicted break time DATE: 02/10/08 19:58:09 GMT FROM: Daniele Malesani at Brera Astro. Obs. Malesani D., Covino S., Ghisellini G., (INAF-OAB), D. Lazzati (IOA, Cambridge, UK), Cecconi M., Fugazza D., Guerra J.C. (INAF-TNG), Masetti N. (IASF-CNR), Pian E. (INAF-OATs), on behalf of a larger Italian collaboration, report: On Oct 6.05 UT, we observed the optical counterpart of GRB 021004 (Shirasaki et al., GCN 1565; Fox, GCN 1564) using the 3.6m TNG telescope in the Canary Islands, with an R and an I filter. With respect to the comparison star used by Fox and calibrated by Henden (GCN 1583), the source has the following magnitudes: UT Band Mag Error 6.062 R 19.72 0.04 6.058 I 19.22 0.04 Our values are in good agreement with the nearly simultaneous measurements of Holland et al. (GCN 1585), Bersier et al. (GCN 1586), and Halpern et al. (GCN 1593). To estimate the break time t_break of the light curve, we can use the correlation discovered by Frail et al. (2001, ApJ, 562:L55), upon which the standard energy reservoir result is based; this can be expressed through t_break = t_0 * (1+z) / E_iso where t_0 = 22(+34)(-16) days and E_iso is the isotropic energy in units of 10^52 ergs. The large error for t_0 originates from the intrinsic dispersion (a factor of 2) in the distribution of beaming-corrected energies (Frail et al. 2001). This result, however, holds independently of the unknown jet opening angle, external density and radiative efficiency. Using the HETE-2 fluence (Lamb et al., GCN 1600), and assuming a bolometric correction k = 1.3+-0.2 (calculated following Bloom, Frail & Sari 2001, AJ, 121:2879), we can predict the break time for this afterglow; we quote the results for the two reported values of the redshift z: 1) z = 1.60 (Fox et al., GCN 1569): E_iso = 3.1*10^52 ergs; 7.5 days < t_break < 47 days; t_break_best = 18.8 days. 2) z = 2.32 (Chornock & Filippenko, GCN 1605): E_iso = 5.6*10^52 ergs; 5.3 days < t_break < 34 days; t_break_best = 13.4 days. Given the slow average decline shown by this burst, this event should remain bright longer than usual. Further observations are hence encouraged. This message is citeable.